It is almost 14 years since Mallorca last beat Espanyol away from home in Spain's top flight, but we are backing a success for the Pirates here. The visitors are in excellent form and are so difficult to score against at the moment, so can see a narrow win for Arrasate's side on Saturday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 36.48%. A win for Mallorca had a probability of 33.48% and a draw had a probability of 30%.

The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.24%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Mallorca win was 0-1 (12.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Espanyol would win this match.

Result
Espanyol	Draw	Mallorca
36.48% ( 0.92)	30.04% ( 0.5)	33.48% ( -1.42)

Both teams to score 41.96% (

-1.42)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.72% (

-1.66)

65.27% (

1.65)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.92% (

-1.17)

84.08% (

1.17)

Espanyol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.82% (

-0.27)

34.18% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.12% (

-0.29)

70.88% (

0.29)

Mallorca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.76% (

-1.88)

36.24% (

1.88)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.97% (

-1.96)

73.02% (

1.96)

Score Analysis

Espanyol 36.48%

Mallorca 33.47%

Draw 30.02%

Espanyol	Draw	Mallorca
1-0 @ 13.29% ( 0.69) 2-1 @ 7.24% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.14% ( 0.32) 3-1 @ 2.59% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.55% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.34% Total : 36.48%	1-1 @ 13.49% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 12.38% ( 0.73) 2-2 @ 3.68% ( -0.21) Other @ 0.48% Total : 30.02%	0-1 @ 12.57% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 6.85% ( -0.34) 0-2 @ 6.38% ( -0.27) 1-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.24) 0-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.21) 2-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.14) Other @ 1.95% Total : 33.47%