Atleti would have taken confidence from Sunday's commanding win over Girona, and we think that they will produce another strong home display to maintain their unbeaten start and condemn Espanyol to a third consecutive defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 53.11%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 21.59%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a Espanyol win it was 0-1 (7.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.

Result
Atletico Madrid	Draw	Espanyol
53.11% ( 1.2)	25.3% ( -0.06)	21.59% ( -1.14)

Both teams to score 47.17% (

-1.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.07% (

-0.87)

54.93% (

0.87)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.79% (

-0.73)

76.21% (

0.72)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.31% (

0.15)

20.69% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.71% (

0.23)

53.29% (

-0.23)

Espanyol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.48% (

-1.62)

40.52% (

1.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.88% (

-1.5)

77.12% (

1.5)

Score Analysis

Atletico Madrid 53.1%

Espanyol 21.59%

Draw 25.29%

Atletico Madrid	Draw	Espanyol
1-0 @ 13.2% ( 0.49) 2-0 @ 10.4% ( 0.43) 2-1 @ 9.4% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.46% ( 0.25) 3-1 @ 4.94% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 2.15% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 1.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.37% Total : 53.1%	1-1 @ 11.93% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 8.38% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.2) Other @ 0.73% Total : 25.29%	0-1 @ 7.57% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 5.39% ( -0.28) 0-2 @ 3.42% ( -0.19) 1-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.11) Other @ 1.27% Total : 21.59%