Villarreal may possess some defensive vulnerabilities, but they also possess a real threat in the final third, and we think that their firepower could help them bounce back from Sunday's defeat by claiming a narrow win over Espanyol on Thursday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 42.33%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 30.27% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 0-1 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Villarreal in this match.

Result
Espanyol	Draw	Villarreal
42.33% ( 0.65)	27.4% ( 0.15)	30.27% ( -0.81)

Both teams to score 48.35% (

-0.77)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.02% (

-0.83)

56.98% (

0.82)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.12% (

-0.67)

77.88% (

0.66)

Espanyol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.4% (

-0.04)

26.59% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.18% (

-0.05)

61.82% (

0.04)

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.87% (

-1.02)

34.12% (

1.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.19% (

-1.11)

70.81% (

1.11)

Score Analysis

Espanyol 42.33%

Villarreal 30.27%

Draw 27.39%

Espanyol	Draw	Villarreal
1-0 @ 12.02% ( 0.37) 2-1 @ 8.56% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.96% ( 0.23) 3-1 @ 3.78% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.51% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.25% 4-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.05% Total : 42.33%	1-1 @ 12.92% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 9.08% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.39%	0-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.95% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.3% Total : 30.27%