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La Liga | Gameweek 4
Aug 31, 2024 at 6.15pm UK
RCDE Stadium
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Espanyol
2 - 1
Rayo Vallecano

Romero (8'), Veliz (90+6')
Kumbulla (81'), Aguado (85'), Veliz (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Garcia (4')
Garcia (82'), Mumin (90+3')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atletico 0-0 Espanyol
Wednesday, August 28 at 8.30pm in La Liga

We said: Espanyol 1-1 Rayo Vallecano

Espanyol will certainly have been boosted by their point against Atletico, but Rayo have made a solid start to the campaign, and we are finding it tough to back them to lose here. We fancy Espanyol to score their first league goal of the campaign, but the hosts might have to settle for a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 45.46%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 25.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.47%) and 2-1 (8.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.02%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 0-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Espanyol would win this match.

Result
EspanyolDrawRayo Vallecano
45.46% (0.265 0.27) 29% (-0.118 -0.12) 25.54% (-0.145 -0.15)
Both teams to score 41.43% (0.183 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.64% (0.283 0.28)64.36% (-0.283 -0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.56% (0.2 0.2)83.44% (-0.199 -0.2)
Espanyol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.56% (0.279 0.28)28.44% (-0.278 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.81% (0.35 0.35)64.2% (-0.349 -0.35)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.89% (0.032000000000004 0.03)42.11% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.47% (0.027999999999999 0.03)78.53% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Espanyol 45.45%
    Rayo Vallecano 25.54%
    Draw 28.99%
EspanyolDrawRayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 15.05% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-0 @ 9.47% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 8.19% (0.048 0.05)
3-0 @ 3.97% (0.051 0.05)
3-1 @ 3.43% (0.046 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.48% (0.021 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.25% (0.026 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.08% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 45.45%
1-1 @ 13.02% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 11.97% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-2 @ 3.54% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 28.99%
0-1 @ 10.35% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-2 @ 5.63% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 4.48% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.62% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.29% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.02% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.14%
Total : 25.54%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Atletico 0-0 Espanyol
Wednesday, August 28 at 8.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Espanyol 0-1 Real Sociedad
Saturday, August 24 at 8.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valladolid 1-0 Espanyol
Monday, August 19 at 6pm in La Liga
Last Game: Heidenheim 2-1 Espanyol
Saturday, August 10 at 2.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Espanyol 0-0 Toulouse
Sunday, August 4 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Espanyol 1-0 Huesca
Wednesday, July 31 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 1-2 Barcelona
Tuesday, August 27 at 8.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Getafe 0-0 Rayo Vallecano
Saturday, August 24 at 8.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Sociedad 1-2 Rayo Vallecano
Sunday, August 18 at 6pm in La Liga
Last Game: Wolves 0-1 Rayo Vallecano
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Bournemouth 1-0 Rayo Vallecano
Sunday, August 4 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Cordoba 1-1 Rayo Vallecano (0-0 pen.)
Wednesday, July 31 at 8pm in Club Friendlies 3


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