SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 45.57%. A win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 29.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.19%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Gil Vicente win was 1-2 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Gil Vicente |
45.57% ( 0.61) | 24.54% ( 0.14) | 29.89% ( -0.75) |
| Both teams to score 57.16% ( -0.91) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.51% ( -1) | 45.49% ( 1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.18% ( -0.96) | 67.82% ( 0.96) |
| Estoril Praia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.94% ( -0.14) | 20.06% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.71% ( -0.23) | 52.29% ( 0.23) |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.5% ( -1) | 28.5% ( 1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.73% ( -1.27) | 64.27% ( 1.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Gil Vicente |
| 2-1 @ 9.26% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 9.19% ( 0.35)2-0 @ 7.38% ( 0.25)3-1 @ 4.96% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.95% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 1.99% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.59% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.91% Total : 45.58% | 1-1 @ 11.52% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.81% ( -0.13)0-0 @ 5.72% ( 0.24)3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.53% | 1-2 @ 7.24% ( -0.13) 0-1 @ 7.18% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.14)2-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.13)0-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.67% Total : 29.89% |
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