SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 46.43%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 29.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.18%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 1-2 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Boavista in this match.
| Result | ||
| Boavista | Draw | Estoril Praia |
46.43% ( 0.16) | 24.37% ( 0.01) | 29.2% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 57.3% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.89% ( -0.12) | 45.11% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.54% ( -0.12) | 67.46% ( 0.12) |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.46% ( 0.02) | 19.54% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.55% ( 0.03) | 51.45% ( -0.03) |
| Estoril Praia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.22% ( -0.17) | 28.78% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.37% ( -0.21) | 64.63% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Boavista | Draw | Estoril Praia |
| 2-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.18% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 7.5% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 5.08% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.08% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.07% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.67% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.29% ( -0)Other @ 3.07% Total : 46.43% | 1-1 @ 11.43% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.81% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 5.63% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.36% | 1-2 @ 7.12% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 7.01% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.6% Total : 29.2% |
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