SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 42.43%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 32.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 0-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gil Vicente would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Estoril Praia |
42.43% ( 0.08) | 25.51% ( -0.13) | 32.05% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 54.93% ( 0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.14% ( 0.58) | 48.86% ( -0.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.04% ( 0.53) | 70.95% ( -0.53) |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.09% ( 0.29) | 22.91% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.33% ( 0.43) | 56.67% ( -0.43) |
| Estoril Praia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.26% ( 0.32) | 28.73% ( -0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.43% ( 0.4) | 64.57% ( -0.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Estoril Praia |
| 1-0 @ 9.7% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 8.91% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.15% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 4.38% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 3.51% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.61% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.14% Total : 42.43% | 1-1 @ 12.09% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 6.58% ( -0.16)2-2 @ 5.56% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.51% | 0-1 @ 8.21% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 7.54% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.14% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.63% Total : 32.05% |
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