Estoril Praia have endured an underwhelming campaign so far and find themselves scrambling for points at the wrong end of the table. Barring their last outing against Rio Ave, the Gilistas have been solid in recent weeks and will be looking to find their feet. We predict a cagey affair at the Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota, with the Gilistas claiming a slender victory.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 40.5%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 1-0 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.