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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 40.5%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 1-0 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Gil Vicente |
32.68% ( 0) | 26.81% ( 0.01) | 40.5% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 50.98% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.95% ( -0.06) | 54.05% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.52% ( -0.05) | 75.48% ( 0.05) |
| Estoril Praia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.09% ( -0.03) | 30.91% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.8% ( -0.03) | 67.2% ( 0.03) |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.78% ( -0.04) | 26.21% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.69% ( -0.05) | 61.31% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Gil Vicente |
| 1-0 @ 9.51% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.48% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.59% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.93% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.19% 3-2 @ 1.96% ( -0)Other @ 3.03% Total : 32.68% | 1-1 @ 12.73% 0-0 @ 8.1% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.8% | 0-1 @ 10.84% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.53% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.26% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.81% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.24% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.27% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.09% ( -0)Other @ 2.23% Total : 40.5% |
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