Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 44.08%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 27.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.8%) and 1-2 (8.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.06%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-0 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
