Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 81.42%. A draw had a probability of 12.3% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 6.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.48%) and 1-0 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.85%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (2.1%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
Result | ||
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Estoril Praia |
81.42% (![]() | 12.35% (![]() | 6.23% (![]() |
Both teams to score 45.34% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.93% (![]() | 33.06% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.2% (![]() | 54.79% (![]() |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.84% (![]() | 6.16% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
76.68% (![]() | 23.31% (![]() |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
48.32% (![]() | 51.68% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
14.2% (![]() | 85.79% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Estoril Praia |
2-0 @ 12.36% (![]() 3-0 @ 11.48% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 8.87% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 8.16% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 8.01% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.58% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 5.29% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 4.46% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 2.95% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.5% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 2.07% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.74% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 1.37% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 0.97% ( ![]() Other @ 3.59% Total : 81.41% | 1-1 @ 5.85% (![]() 0-0 @ 3.18% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 2.69% ( ![]() Other @ 0.62% Total : 12.35% | 0-1 @ 2.1% (![]() 1-2 @ 1.93% ( ![]() Other @ 2.2% Total : 6.23% |
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