SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 81.42%. A draw had a probability of 12.3% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 6.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.48%) and 1-0 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.85%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (2.1%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Estoril Praia |
81.42% ( 0.34) | 12.35% ( -0.29) | 6.23% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 45.34% ( 0.88) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.93% ( 1.27) | 33.06% ( -1.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.2% ( 1.45) | 54.79% ( -1.45) |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.84% ( 0.32) | 6.16% ( -0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 76.68% ( 0.9) | 23.31% ( -0.9) |
| Estoril Praia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.32% ( 0.77) | 51.68% ( -0.78) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.2% ( 0.5) | 85.79% ( -0.51) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Estoril Praia |
| 2-0 @ 12.36% ( -0.36) 3-0 @ 11.48% ( -0.12)1-0 @ 8.87% ( -0.44)2-1 @ 8.16% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 8.01% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 7.58% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 5.29% ( 0.16)5-0 @ 4.46% ( 0.12)5-1 @ 2.95% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 2.5% ( 0.09)6-0 @ 2.07% ( 0.09)4-2 @ 1.74% ( 0.09)6-1 @ 1.37% ( 0.09)5-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.59% Total : 81.41% | 1-1 @ 5.85% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 3.18% ( -0.22)2-2 @ 2.69% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.62% Total : 12.35% | 0-1 @ 2.1% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 1.93% ( -0)Other @ 2.2% Total : 6.23% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
