Estrela and Rio Ave find themselves scrambling for points at the wrong end of the table and Sunday's result could prove pivotal in their battle against the drop. We predict that both sides will take a cautious approach to this one and cancel out each other's efforts.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 43.29%. A win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (7.88%). The likeliest Estrela Amadora win was 1-0 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
0.8) 
-1.19) 
