Given the stakes of this game, we anticipate an end-to-end affair at the Estadio Jose Gomes with both sides going all out in search of the win. Estrela's home advantage gives them a slight edge here and we fancy them to come away with a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Estrela Amadora win with a probability of 37.78%. A win for Chaves has a probability of 35.5% and a draw has a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estrela Amadora win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Chaves win is 0-1 (9.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.7%).

Result
Estrela Amadora	Draw	Chaves
37.78% ( 0.1)	26.72% ( 0)	35.5% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 51.79% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.75% (

-0.01)

53.24% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.19% (

-0)

74.8% (

Estrela Amadora Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.64% (

0.06)

27.35% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.18% (

0.07)

62.81% (

-0.07)

Chaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.3% (

-0.06)

28.7% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.47% (

-0.08)

64.53% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Estrela Amadora 37.77%

Chaves 35.5%

Draw 26.71%

Estrela Amadora	Draw	Chaves
1-0 @ 10.17% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.23% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.6% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.56% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.85% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.07% Total : 37.77%	1-1 @ 12.7% 0-0 @ 7.85% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.71%	0-1 @ 9.8% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.93% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.12% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.3% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.14% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.65% Total : 35.5%