Rio Ave's strong home form and Gil Vicente's struggles on the road favor the home side. However, both teams lack attacking punch. Expect a tight match with a low chance of many goals. Rio Ave might edge it with a narrow win here.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 41.41%. A win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 32.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Gil Vicente win was 0-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rio Ave would win this match.
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