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EL
FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 9, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Goodison Park
PU

Everton
vs.
Peterborough

 

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bournemouth 1-0 Everton
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Wrexham 1-0 Peterborough
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in League One

We say: Everton 1-0 Peterborough United

When trying to identify a potential cup upset this weekend, many may look to this fixture given Everton's dreadful recent form, but even with all of their troubles in attack, the hosts should be able to get past their League One opponents. Peterborough have never beaten top-flight opposition at this stage in the FA Cup, and Everton have not lost at home to a lower-league side in 14 years, so a place in round four should be theirs. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Everton win with a probability of 42.55%. A win for Peterborough United has a probability of 33.37% and a draw has a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Everton win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.89%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Peterborough United win is 1-2 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.07%).

Result
EvertonDrawPeterborough United
42.55% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04) 24.07% (0.013999999999999 0.01) 33.37% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Both teams to score 60.43% (-0.053999999999995 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.1% (-0.073 -0.07)41.89% (0.064 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.7% (-0.073 -0.07)64.3% (0.063999999999993 0.06)
Everton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.09% (-0.050000000000011 -0.05)19.9% (0.041 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.96% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)52.03% (0.067 0.07)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.45% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)24.54% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.97% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)59.02% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Everton 42.55%
    Peterborough United 33.37%
    Draw 24.06%
EvertonDrawPeterborough United
2-1 @ 8.94% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 7.89% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.37% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 4.81% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.43% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 3.38% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.94% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.38% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.36% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 42.55%
1-1 @ 11.07% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.28% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 4.89% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.58% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.06%
1-2 @ 7.78% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-1 @ 6.86% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.82% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.64%
2-3 @ 2.94% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 2.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.28% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.03% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 33.37%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Bournemouth 1-0 Everton
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Everton 0-2 Nott'm Forest
Sunday, December 29 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man City 1-1 Everton
Thursday, December 26 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Everton 0-0 Chelsea
Sunday, December 22 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 0-0 Everton
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Everton 4-0 Wolves
Wednesday, December 4 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Wrexham 1-0 Peterborough
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 2-2 Peterborough
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 1-3 Barnsley
Sunday, December 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 0-3 Mansfield
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Stockport 2-1 Peterborough
Friday, December 20 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 3-0 Northampton
Tuesday, December 17 at 7pm in EFL Trophy


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