Given Peterborough's shocking defensive record, it is highly likely that Mansfield will score on Thursday.
However, the Posh's contrastingly potent attack may prove too much for Clough's promoted side to handle, and that firepower could earn the home side all three points on Boxing Day.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 49.78%. A win for Mansfield Town had a probability of 27.71% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.44%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Mansfield Town win was 1-2 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
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