Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 61.56%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Excelsior Maassluis had a probability of 18.31%.
The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.09%) and 0-1 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.2%), while for a Excelsior Maassluis win it was 2-1 (5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for ADO Den Haag in this match.
-0.05) 
0.07) 
