SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 43.91%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 30.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 0-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Exeter City in this match.
| Result | ||
| Exeter City | Draw | Charlton Athletic |
43.91% ( -0.07) | 25.26% ( -0.02) | 30.82% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 55.24% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.77% ( 0.13) | 48.22% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.62% ( 0.12) | 70.38% ( -0.12) |
| Exeter City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.06% ( 0.02) | 21.94% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.78% ( 0.03) | 55.22% ( -0.04) |
| Charlton Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.76% ( 0.13) | 29.23% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.81% ( 0.16) | 65.19% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Exeter City | Draw | Charlton Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 9.73% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.08% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.38% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.59% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.73% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.74% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.42% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.36% Total : 43.91% | 1-1 @ 11.96% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.41% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.26% | 0-1 @ 7.89% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.36% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.85% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.02% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.51% Total : 30.82% |
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