SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 49.7%. A win for Reading had a probability of 25.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest Reading win was 0-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Exeter City | Draw | Reading |
49.7% ( 0.84) | 24.37% ( -0.12) | 25.93% ( -0.72) |
| Both teams to score 54.71% ( -0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.67% ( -0.03) | 47.33% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.45% ( -0.03) | 69.55% ( 0.02) |
| Exeter City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.92% ( 0.33) | 19.08% ( -0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.31% ( 0.54) | 50.69% ( -0.55) |
| Reading Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.61% ( -0.59) | 32.38% ( 0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.1% ( -0.67) | 68.9% ( 0.67) |
| Score Analysis |
| Exeter City | Draw | Reading |
| 1-0 @ 10.23% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 8.48% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 5.28% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 4.68% ( 0.15)3-2 @ 2.98% 4-1 @ 2.19% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.14% Total : 49.7% | 1-1 @ 11.54% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.39% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.37% | 0-1 @ 6.97% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 6.51% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 3.93% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.58% Total : 25.93% |
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