Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Oleksandriya win with a probability of 51.85%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Metalist Kharkiv had a probability of 22.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Oleksandriya win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.92%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Metalist Kharkiv win it was 0-1 (7.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for FC Oleksandriya in this match.

Result
FC Oleksandriya	Draw	Metalist Kharkiv
51.85% ( 2.62)	25.31% ( -0.01)	22.83% ( -2.61)

Both teams to score 48.62% (

-2.66)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.21% (

-2.15)

53.79% (

2.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.73% (

-1.84)

75.26% (

1.84)

FC Oleksandriya Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.24% (

0.23)

20.75% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.61% (

0.37)

53.39% (

-0.36)

Metalist Kharkiv Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.35% (

-3.55)

38.64% (

3.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.61% (

-3.54)

75.38% (

3.54)

Score Analysis

FC Oleksandriya 51.85%

Metalist Kharkiv 22.83%

Draw 25.31%

FC Oleksandriya	Draw	Metalist Kharkiv
1-0 @ 12.61% ( 1.12) 2-0 @ 9.92% ( 0.94) 2-1 @ 9.43% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.52) 3-1 @ 4.94% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.21) 4-0 @ 2.04% ( 0.22) 4-1 @ 1.94% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.5% Total : 51.85%	1-1 @ 11.99% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 8.02% ( 0.65) 2-2 @ 4.48% ( -0.44) Other @ 0.82% Total : 25.31%	0-1 @ 7.63% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.61) 0-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.41) 1-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.39) 2-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.3) 0-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.26) Other @ 1.51% Total : 22.83%