Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Kiev win with a probability of 80.39%. A draw had a probability of 13.4% and a win for Metalist Kharkiv had a probability of 6.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Kiev win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (12.14%) and 0-1 (10.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.35%), while for a Metalist Kharkiv win it was 1-0 (2.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
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