SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metalist Kharkiv win with a probability of 37.49%. A win for Inhulets had a probability of 34.88% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metalist Kharkiv win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.02%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest Inhulets win was 1-0 (10.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Inhulets | Draw | Metalist Kharkiv |
34.88% ( 0.22) | 27.63% ( 0.1) | 37.49% ( -0.31) |
| Both teams to score 48.87% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.1% ( -0.35) | 56.91% ( 0.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.18% ( -0.28) | 77.82% ( 0.29) |
| Inhulets Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.1% ( -0.04) | 30.9% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.81% ( -0.04) | 67.19% ( 0.05) |
| Metalist Kharkiv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.72% ( -0.36) | 29.28% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.75% ( -0.44) | 65.25% ( 0.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| Inhulets | Draw | Metalist Kharkiv |
| 1-0 @ 10.62% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 7.66% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.24% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 3% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.44% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.07% Total : 34.87% | 1-1 @ 13.05% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 9.05% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.63% | 0-1 @ 11.11% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.02% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 6.83% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.28% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.53% Total : 37.49% |
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