Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Oleksandriya win with a probability of 41.08%. A win for Metalist Kharkiv had a probability of 30.89% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Oleksandriya win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Metalist Kharkiv win was 0-1 (10.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Oleksandriya would win this match.
