SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Veres win with a probability of 42%. A win for Metalist Kharkiv had a probability of 31.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Veres win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Metalist Kharkiv win was 0-1 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Veres in this match.
| Result | ||
| Veres | Draw | Metalist Kharkiv |
42% ( 0.46) | 26.38% ( -0.07) | 31.62% ( -0.39) |
| Both teams to score 51.96% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.36% ( 0.15) | 52.63% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.72% ( 0.13) | 74.28% ( -0.14) |
| Veres Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.21% ( 0.31) | 24.79% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.63% ( 0.42) | 59.37% ( -0.42) |
| Metalist Kharkiv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.08% ( -0.19) | 30.91% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.79% ( -0.22) | 67.21% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Veres | Draw | Metalist Kharkiv |
| 1-0 @ 10.68% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.75% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 7.45% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 4.07% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 3.47% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.55% Total : 41.99% | 1-1 @ 12.54% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.66% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 5.14% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.38% | 0-1 @ 9% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 7.37% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.02% Total : 31.62% |
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