SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 71.31%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Metalist Kharkiv had a probability of 12.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.2%) and 1-3 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.16%), while for a Metalist Kharkiv win it was 2-1 (3.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Shakhtar Donetsk in this match.
| Result | ||
| Metalist Kharkiv | Draw | Shakhtar Donetsk |
12.52% ( -0.06) | 16.18% ( -0.03) | 71.31% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 58.71% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.62% ( -0.01) | 30.38% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.35% ( -0.02) | 51.65% ( 0.02) |
| Metalist Kharkiv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.49% ( -0.09) | 36.51% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.7% ( -0.09) | 73.3% ( 0.09) |
| Shakhtar Donetsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.47% ( 0.01) | 7.53% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 73% ( 0.03) | 27% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Metalist Kharkiv | Draw | Shakhtar Donetsk |
| 2-1 @ 3.61% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 2.77% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.96% Total : 12.52% | 1-1 @ 7.16% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 2.75% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.25% Total : 16.18% | 1-2 @ 9.26% ( -0) 0-2 @ 9.2% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 7.99% ( 0)0-3 @ 7.93% ( 0.02)0-1 @ 7.11% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 5.16% ( 0)0-4 @ 5.13% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 4.02% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 2.67% ( 0)0-5 @ 2.65% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 2.6% ( -0)2-5 @ 1.35% ( -0)1-6 @ 1.15% ( 0)0-6 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.95% Total : 71.31% |
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