Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Volendam win with a probability of 47.53%. A win for Den Bosch had a probability of 29.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Volendam win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.83%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Den Bosch win was 1-2 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Volendam would win this match.
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