SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Den Bosch win with a probability of 39.86%. A win for De Graafschap had a probability of 35.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Den Bosch win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.63%) and 2-0 (5.92%). The likeliest De Graafschap win was 1-2 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Den Bosch | Draw | De Graafschap |
39.86% ( 0.46) | 24.22% ( 0.15) | 35.91% ( -0.6) |
| Both teams to score 60.5% ( -0.62) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.93% ( -0.77) | 42.07% ( 0.77) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.52% ( -0.77) | 64.47% ( 0.78) |
| Den Bosch Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.78% ( -0.11) | 21.21% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.89% ( -0.18) | 54.11% ( 0.18) |
| De Graafschap Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.79% ( -0.67) | 23.21% ( 0.67) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.89% ( -0.98) | 57.11% ( 0.99) |
| Score Analysis |
| Den Bosch | Draw | De Graafschap |
| 2-1 @ 8.65% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 7.63% ( 0.24)2-0 @ 5.92% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 4.47% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3.06% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 1.73% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.69% Total : 39.86% | 1-1 @ 11.15% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 6.31% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.17)3-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.22% | 1-2 @ 8.14% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 7.19% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.96% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.07)2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.23% Total : 35.91% |
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