SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Telstar win with a probability of 55.2%. A win for Den Bosch had a probability of 22.54% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Telstar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.06%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Den Bosch win was 1-2 (5.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Telstar | Draw | Den Bosch |
55.2% ( 0.13) | 22.26% ( -0.16) | 22.54% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 57.92% ( 0.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.7% ( 0.75) | 41.29% ( -0.76) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.31% ( 0.76) | 63.69% ( -0.76) |
| Telstar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.12% ( 0.3) | 14.87% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.78% ( 0.57) | 43.22% ( -0.58) |
| Den Bosch Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.04% ( 0.44) | 31.95% ( -0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.58% ( 0.49) | 68.41% ( -0.5) |
| Score Analysis |
| Telstar | Draw | Den Bosch |
| 2-1 @ 9.85% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.06% ( -0.21)2-0 @ 8.63% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 6.25% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 5.48% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 2.98% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 2.61% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.7% ( 0.06)5-1 @ 1.14% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 1% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.94% Total : 55.2% | 1-1 @ 10.33% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( 0.06)0-0 @ 4.75% ( -0.17)3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.26% | 1-2 @ 5.89% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.42% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 3.09% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.18% ( 0)Other @ 2.58% Total : 22.54% |
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