Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 36.83%. A win for FeralpiSalo had a probability of 36.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.15%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest FeralpiSalo win was 1-0 (9.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sampdoria would win this match.
-0.48) 
0.52) 
