SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pisa win with a probability of 51.01%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 23.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pisa win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.57%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (7.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pisa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Pisa | Draw | Sampdoria |
51.01% ( 0.44) | 25.26% ( -0.24) | 23.72% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 49.74% ( 0.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.19% ( 0.75) | 52.81% ( -0.75) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.56% ( 0.63) | 74.43% ( -0.63) |
| Pisa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.29% ( 0.49) | 20.71% ( -0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.68% ( 0.76) | 53.32% ( -0.76) |
| Sampdoria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.73% ( 0.23) | 37.26% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.95% ( 0.22) | 74.04% ( -0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pisa | Draw | Sampdoria |
| 1-0 @ 12.15% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 9.57% ( 0)2-1 @ 9.44% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 4.96% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 2.45% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 1.98% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 1.95% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.54% Total : 51.01% | 1-1 @ 11.99% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 7.72% ( -0.23)2-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.89% Total : 25.26% | 0-1 @ 7.62% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.7% Total : 23.72% |
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