Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pisa win with a probability of 51.01%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 23.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pisa win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.57%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (7.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pisa would win this match.
0.44) 
-0.24) 
