SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 47.7%. A win for Modena had a probability of 26.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Modena win was 0-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sampdoria | Draw | Modena |
47.7% ( -0.35) | 25.49% ( 0.12) | 26.81% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 51.93% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.65% ( -0.33) | 51.35% ( 0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.83% ( -0.29) | 73.17% ( 0.3) |
| Sampdoria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.47% ( -0.29) | 21.54% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.4% ( -0.45) | 54.6% ( 0.45) |
| Modena Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.18% ( 0.01) | 33.82% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.52% ( 0.01) | 70.48% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sampdoria | Draw | Modena |
| 1-0 @ 11.18% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.31% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 8.59% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.76% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 4.39% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.83% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.69% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.38% Total : 47.7% | 1-1 @ 12.12% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 5.05% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.49% | 0-1 @ 7.9% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 6.57% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 4.28% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.31% Total : 26.81% |
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