SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 62.34%. A win for FK Vojvodina had a probability of 18.99% and a draw had a probability of 18.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.45%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest FK Vojvodina win was 2-1 (4.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FK Vojvodina | Draw | Ajax |
18.99% ( 0.01) | 18.66% ( -0) | 62.34% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 65.51% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.06% ( 0.04) | 28.94% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.09% ( 0.05) | 49.9% ( -0.06) |
| FK Vojvodina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.03% ( 0.03) | 27.97% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.39% ( 0.05) | 63.6% ( -0.05) |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.95% ( 0) | 9.05% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.21% ( 0.02) | 30.79% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| FK Vojvodina | Draw | Ajax |
| 2-1 @ 4.94% 1-0 @ 3.22% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.52% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.1% ( 0)2-0 @ 2.05% ( -0)Other @ 4.16% Total : 18.99% | 1-1 @ 7.75% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( 0)0-0 @ 2.53% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 2.02% ( 0)Other @ 0.44% Total : 18.66% | 1-2 @ 9.31% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 7.45% 0-2 @ 7.3% ( -0.01)0-1 @ 6.08% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 5.85% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 4.75% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 4.48% ( 0)0-4 @ 3.51% ( -0)2-4 @ 2.85% ( 0)1-5 @ 2.15% ( 0)0-5 @ 1.69% 2-5 @ 1.37% ( 0)3-4 @ 1.21% ( 0)Other @ 4.34% Total : 62.34% |
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