Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 55.18%. A win for Al-Wasl had a probability of 25.02% and a draw had a probability of 19.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.76%) and 2-0 (5.79%). The likeliest Al-Wasl win was 1-2 (5.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Ajax in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Ajax.
Result | ||
Ajax | Draw | Al-Wasl |
55.18% ( 0.23) | 19.8% ( -0.01) | 25.02% ( -0.22) |
Both teams to score 70.37% ( -0.23) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
73.52% ( -0.19) | 26.48% ( 0.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
53.18% ( -0.24) | 46.82% ( 0.23) |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.01% ( -0.01) | 9.99% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67% ( -0.01) | 33% ( 0.01) |
Al-Wasl Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.18% ( -0.25) | 21.83% ( 0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.96% ( -0.38) | 55.05% ( 0.37) |
Score Analysis |
Ajax | Draw | Al-Wasl |
2-1 @ 8.81% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.76% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 5.79% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 3.89% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.96% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.56% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.79% ( 0.01) 4-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.97% Total : 55.18% | 1-1 @ 7.65% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.7% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 2.18% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.66% Total : 19.8% | 1-2 @ 5.82% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 3.32% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.02) 3-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.32% Total : 25.02% |
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