SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 43.4%. A win for Rangers had a probability of 35.2% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.37%) and 3-2 (4.74%). The likeliest Rangers win was 1-2 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Ajax in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Ajax.
| Result | ||
| Ajax | Draw | Rangers |
43.4% ( 0.01) | 21.39% ( 0) | 35.2% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 71.32% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.04% ( -0.02) | 27.95% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.31% ( -0.03) | 48.68% ( 0.02) |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.06% ( -0.01) | 13.93% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.6% ( -0.01) | 41.4% ( 0.01) |
| Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.87% ( -0.02) | 17.12% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.65% ( -0.03) | 47.34% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ajax | Draw | Rangers |
| 2-1 @ 8.18% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.37% ( 0)3-2 @ 4.74% ( -0)1-0 @ 4.7% ( 0)2-0 @ 4.63% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.04% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.65% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.34% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.5% ( 0)4-3 @ 1.37% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.04% 5-2 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 2.91% Total : 43.4% | 1-1 @ 8.3% ( 0) 2-2 @ 7.22% ( -0)3-3 @ 2.79% ( -0)0-0 @ 2.39% ( 0)Other @ 0.7% Total : 21.39% | 1-2 @ 7.32% 1-3 @ 4.31% ( -0)2-3 @ 4.24% ( -0)0-1 @ 4.21% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.72% 0-3 @ 2.19% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.9% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.87% ( -0)3-4 @ 1.23% ( -0)0-4 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 3.25% Total : 35.2% |
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