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F
Brasileiro | Gameweek 18
Jul 20, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho

Flamengo
2 - 1
Criciuma

Pedro (76'), Barbosa (89' pen.)
Luiz (50'), Vina (71'), Barbosa (90'), Everton (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Rodrigo (35')
Rodrigo (39'), Claudinho (47'), Allano (62'), Alisson (62'), Barreto (87'), Eder (88'), Mateus (90+3'), Arthur (90+12'), Allano (90')
Allano (90+1')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Flamengo 1-2 Fortaleza
Friday, July 12 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Corinthians 2-1 Criciuma
Wednesday, July 17 at 1am in Brasileiro

We said: Flamengo 2-1 Criciuma

It is hard to see beyond a return to winning ways for Flamengo on Saturday, with Tite's men well-rested after their midweek match against Internacional was postponed. Even though they may not keep a clean sheet, the ambition to challenge for the league title allied with Criciuma's ongoing away blues should see the hosts snap their two-match winless sequence in front of their fans. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 74.77%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Criciuma had a probability of 9.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.03%) and 3-0 (10.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.68%), while for a Criciuma win it was 0-1 (3.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Flamengo in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Flamengo.

Result
FlamengoDrawCriciuma
74.77% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 16.14% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 9.09% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
Both teams to score 45.45% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.19% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)40.81% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.81% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)63.19% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.68% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)9.32% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.55% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)31.44% (0.004999999999999 0)
Criciuma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.12% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)49.88% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.43% (-0.019 -0.02)84.57% (0.015999999999991 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Flamengo 74.75%
    Criciuma 9.1%
    Draw 16.14%
FlamengoDrawCriciuma
2-0 @ 13.08%
1-0 @ 11.03% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 10.35% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.11% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 7.2% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
4-0 @ 6.14% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 4.27% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
5-0 @ 2.91% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.51% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
5-1 @ 2.03% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.49% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
6-0 @ 1.15%
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 74.75%
1-1 @ 7.68% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 4.65% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 3.17% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 16.14%
0-1 @ 3.24%
1-2 @ 2.67% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-2 @ 1.13% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 9.1%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Flamengo 1-2 Fortaleza
Friday, July 12 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 1-1 Cuiaba
Sunday, July 7 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 2-4 Flamengo
Thursday, July 4 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 2-1 Cruzeiro
Sunday, June 30 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Juventude 2-1 Flamengo
Thursday, June 27 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fluminense 0-1 Flamengo
Sunday, June 23 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Corinthians 2-1 Criciuma
Wednesday, July 17 at 1am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Criciuma 1-1 Fluminense
Friday, July 12 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Vitoria 2-1 Criciuma
Sunday, July 7 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Criciuma 1-0 Cruzeiro
Thursday, July 4 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Criciuma 1-1 Internacional
Sunday, June 30 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Sao Paulo 2-1 Criciuma
Friday, June 28 at 12am in Brasileiro


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