Doncaster Rovers have enjoyed the stronger start to their 2024-25 League Two promotion bid but face a tough test away at a Fleetwood Town side who are well versed in avoiding defeat.
With both sides possessing quality throughout their ranks, we see a draw as the most likely outcome at Highbury.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 44.84%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 28.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (8.22%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Doncaster Rovers would win this match.
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