SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 42.02%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Salford City win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Salford City |
42.02% ( -0.46) | 26.05% ( 0.13) | 31.93% ( 0.33) |
| Both teams to score 53.13% ( -0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.83% ( -0.46) | 51.17% ( 0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.98% ( -0.4) | 73.01% ( 0.4) |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.87% ( -0.43) | 24.13% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.56% ( -0.62) | 58.43% ( 0.61) |
| Salford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.03% ( -0.01) | 29.96% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.92% ( -0.02) | 66.08% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Salford City |
| 1-0 @ 10.27% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 8.81% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 7.31% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 4.17% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 3.46% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.48% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.23% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.75% Total : 42.01% | 1-1 @ 12.38% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.23% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.04% | 0-1 @ 8.71% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 7.47% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 5.25% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 3% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 0.9% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.36% Total : 31.93% |
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