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EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Nov 12, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
FT

Bolton
2 - 1
Fleetwood

Collins (26', 90+1')
Forrester (75')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Graydon (52')
Hughes (24'), Patterson (87')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stockport 5-0 Bolton
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Fleetwood 1-0 Bradford
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-1 Fleetwood Town

Home advantage and a determination to put things right after recent results should see Bolton claim both victory and a place in the next stage. As Fleetwood are burdened by several absences, they will not mind too much if they can be left to concentrate on their League Two campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 57.53%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 21.57% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.07%) and 1-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 1-2 (5.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bolton Wanderers in this match.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawFleetwood Town
57.53% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08) 20.9% (0.0019999999999989 0) 21.57% (0.077000000000002 0.08)
Both teams to score 61.4% (0.106 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.91% (0.084999999999994 0.08)36.09% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.81% (0.094000000000001 0.09)58.19% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.57% (0.0010000000000048 0)12.43% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.65% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)38.35% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.12% (0.11699999999999 0.12)29.88% (-0.122 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.02% (0.14100000000001 0.14)65.98% (-0.145 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 57.53%
    Fleetwood Town 21.57%
    Draw 20.9%
Bolton WanderersDrawFleetwood Town
2-1 @ 9.75% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.07% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
1-0 @ 7.75% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 5.61% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 4.09% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.53% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2.93% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.13% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.47%
5-0 @ 1.22% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 4.2%
Total : 57.53%
1-1 @ 9.36% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.89% (0.015 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.72% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.65% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 20.9%
1-2 @ 5.65% (0.014 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.49% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 2.71% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.37% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.28% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.09% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 21.57%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Stockport 5-0 Bolton
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Walsall 2-1 Bolton
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Stevenage 1-4 Bolton
Tuesday, October 29 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 1-0 Peterborough
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Birmingham 2-0 Bolton
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 2-1 Burton Albion
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Fleetwood 1-0 Bradford
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Reading 2-0 Fleetwood
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Fleetwood 2-2 Salford City
Tuesday, October 29 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Newport 0-0 Fleetwood
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Fleetwood 0-1 Crewe
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Port Vale 3-1 Fleetwood
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in League Two


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