SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 57.94%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 19.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.22%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 1-0 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Stockport County |
19.47% ( 0.03) | 22.59% ( 0.01) | 57.94% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 52.18% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.31% ( -0.01) | 46.69% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.04% ( -0.01) | 68.95% ( 0) |
| Forest Green Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.99% ( 0.03) | 38.01% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.22% ( 0.02) | 74.78% ( -0.03) |
| Stockport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.17% ( -0.02) | 15.82% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55% ( -0.03) | 45% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Stockport County |
| 1-0 @ 5.82% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 5.19% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 2.81% ( 0)3-1 @ 1.67% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.54% ( 0)3-0 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 1.53% Total : 19.47% | 1-1 @ 10.72% 0-0 @ 6.02% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.78% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.58% | 0-1 @ 11.09% 0-2 @ 10.22% ( -0.01)1-2 @ 9.89% ( -0)0-3 @ 6.28% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 6.08% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.94% ( 0)0-4 @ 2.9% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.8% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.35% ( -0)0-5 @ 1.07% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 2.29% Total : 57.94% |
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