SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 48.74%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 28.81% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.06%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Salford City win was 2-1 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Salford City | Draw | Stockport County |
28.81% ( 0.63) | 22.44% ( 0.07) | 48.74% ( -0.71) |
| Both teams to score 63.89% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.69% ( 0.1) | 36.31% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.56% ( 0.11) | 58.43% ( -0.11) |
| Salford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.41% ( 0.46) | 24.58% ( -0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.92% ( 0.64) | 59.08% ( -0.64) |
| Stockport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.72% ( -0.21) | 15.28% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.02% ( -0.39) | 43.98% ( 0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Salford City | Draw | Stockport County |
| 2-1 @ 6.95% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 5.27% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 3.7% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 3.25% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 3.05% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 1.73% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 1.14% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.66% Total : 28.81% | 1-1 @ 9.9% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.53% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 3.76% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.35% Total : 22.44% | 1-2 @ 9.3% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 7.06% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 6.63% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 5.83% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 4.15% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 4.09% 1-4 @ 2.74% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 1.95% ( -0.07)2-4 @ 1.92% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.03% ( -0.03)Other @ 4.06% Total : 48.74% |
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