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League Two | Gameweek 40
Mar 23, 2024 at 5.15pm UK
Edgeley Park
MD

Stockport
5 - 0
MK Dons

Camps (31'), Madden (36'), Olaofe (45+1'), Lemonheigh-Evans (51'), Byrne (90+5')
Kane (44')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Payne (39')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crawley 1-1 Stockport
Monday, March 18 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: MK Dons 3-1 Crewe
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Stockport County 1-1 MK Dons

Stockport boss Challinor has labelled Saturday's enticing showdown as one that both sides simply have to win, but the hosts' recent failures to convert one point into three and MK Dons' propensity to fall short on the road may put paid to that idea. The Hatters are certainly nowhere near the force that they were during the earliest months of the campaign, but even with their crisis on the left-hand side of the backline, we can envisage the defensively-sound hosts maintaining their top-three position by taking a point off an MK Dons crop who do not travel well. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 52.04%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 24.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.

Result
Stockport CountyDrawMK Dons
52.04% (0.238 0.24) 23.71% (-0.032 -0.03) 24.25% (-0.199 -0.2)
Both teams to score 55.16% (-0.112 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.07% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)45.93% (0.050000000000004 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.76% (-0.041999999999998 -0.04)68.24% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Stockport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.36% (0.075000000000003 0.08)17.65% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.75% (0.125 0.13)48.26% (-0.11799999999999 -0.12)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.98% (-0.19300000000001 -0.19)33.02% (0.2 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.39% (-0.216 -0.22)69.61% (0.223 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Stockport County 52.03%
    MK Dons 24.25%
    Draw 23.7%
Stockport CountyDrawMK Dons
1-0 @ 10.1% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.71% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.77% (0.058 0.06)
3-1 @ 5.62% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.07% (0.045 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.11% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.44% (0.014 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.2% (0.024 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.35% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 52.03%
1-1 @ 11.19% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.83% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.38% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.7%
0-1 @ 6.46% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.21% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.58% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.29% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.99% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.32% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 24.25%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Crawley 1-1 Stockport
Monday, March 18 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 2-2 Stockport
Thursday, March 14 at 8pm in League Two
Last Game: Stockport 1-0 Newport
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Stockport 0-0 Swindon
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 0-0 Stockport
Tuesday, February 20 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Tranmere 4-0 Stockport
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: MK Dons 3-1 Crewe
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-0 MK Dons
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: MK Dons 3-1 Salford City
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 1-2 MK Dons
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-0 MK Dons
Saturday, March 2 at 12.45pm in League Two
Last Game: MK Dons 3-0 Newport
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League Two


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