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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 57.51%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 20.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 2-0 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stockport County in this match.
| Result | ||
| Stockport County | Draw | Newport County |
57.51% ( -0.18) | 22.36% ( 0.05) | 20.13% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 53.98% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.18% ( -0.06) | 44.82% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.82% ( -0.06) | 67.18% ( 0.06) |
| Stockport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.67% ( -0.08) | 15.33% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.93% ( -0.15) | 44.07% ( 0.15) |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.75% ( 0.09) | 36.25% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.96% ( 0.1) | 73.04% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stockport County | Draw | Newport County |
| 1-0 @ 10.42% 2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0)2-0 @ 9.77% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 6.2% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 6.11% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.15% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.91% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.87% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.53% Total : 57.51% | 1-1 @ 10.57% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.56% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.03% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.36% | 0-1 @ 5.64% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 2.86% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.78% Total : 20.13% |
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