SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 44.16%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 30.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Gillingham | Draw | Stockport County |
30.75% ( 0.68) | 25.09% ( 0.25) | 44.16% ( -0.93) |
| Both teams to score 55.77% ( -0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.48% ( -0.77) | 47.52% ( 0.77) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.27% ( -0.72) | 69.73% ( 0.72) |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.06% ( 0.08) | 28.94% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.18% ( 0.1) | 64.82% ( -0.1) |
| Stockport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.47% ( -0.74) | 21.53% ( 0.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.41% ( -1.15) | 54.59% ( 1.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gillingham | Draw | Stockport County |
| 1-0 @ 7.73% ( 0.26) 2-1 @ 7.36% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 4.79% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 3.04% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.98% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.58% Total : 30.75% | 1-1 @ 11.86% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 6.23% ( 0.2)2-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.09% | 0-1 @ 9.57% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 9.11% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 7.35% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 4.66% ( -0.16)0-3 @ 3.76% ( -0.14)2-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.1)0-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.09)2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.48% Total : 44.16% |
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