Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 53.47%. A win for Greuther Furth had a probability of 24.49% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.95%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Greuther Furth win was 1-2 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortuna Dusseldorf would win this match.
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