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DFB-Pokal | Semi-Finals
Apr 3, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
BayArena
FD

B. Leverkusen
4 - 0
Dusseldorf

Frimpong (7'), Adli (20'), Wirtz (35', 60' pen.)
FT(HT: 3-0)

Tzolis (37')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Bayer Leverkusen 2-0 Fortuna Dusseldorf

Leverkusen remain unbeaten heading into the ninth month of the season and are strong favourites heading into this game against lower-league Dusseldorf, leading us to believe they will extend their run to 40 games without defeat with victory in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 65.53%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Fortuna Dusseldorf had a probability of 15.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.79%) and 1-0 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.72%), while for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win it was 1-2 (4.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawFortuna Dusseldorf
65.53% (-1.497 -1.5) 18.93% (0.72 0.72) 15.54% (0.778 0.78)
Both teams to score 56.64% (-0.693 -0.69)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.1% (-1.818 -1.82)36.89% (1.82 1.82)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.93% (-1.999 -2)59.07% (2.001 2)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.46% (-0.869 -0.87)10.54% (0.871 0.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.76% (-1.991 -1.99)34.24% (1.994 1.99)
Fortuna Dusseldorf Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.31% (-0.157 -0.16)36.69% (0.159 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.52% (-0.16 -0.16)73.48% (0.16199999999999 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 65.53%
    Fortuna Dusseldorf 15.54%
    Draw 18.93%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawFortuna Dusseldorf
2-1 @ 9.81% (0.108 0.11)
2-0 @ 9.79% (0.149 0.15)
1-0 @ 8.7% (0.449 0.45)
3-1 @ 7.36% (-0.198 -0.2)
3-0 @ 7.34% (-0.164 -0.16)
4-1 @ 4.14% (-0.274 -0.27)
4-0 @ 4.13% (-0.255 -0.26)
3-2 @ 3.69% (-0.116 -0.12)
4-2 @ 2.08% (-0.148 -0.15)
5-1 @ 1.86% (-0.2 -0.2)
5-0 @ 1.86% (-0.191 -0.19)
5-2 @ 0.94% (-0.104 -0.1)
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 65.53%
1-1 @ 8.72% (0.414 0.41)
2-2 @ 4.92% (0.033 0.03)
0-0 @ 3.87% (0.334 0.33)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 18.93%
1-2 @ 4.37% (0.189 0.19)
0-1 @ 3.88% (0.321 0.32)
0-2 @ 1.94% (0.153 0.15)
2-3 @ 1.64% (0.0029999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 1.46% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 15.54%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-1 Hoffenheim
Saturday, March 30 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 2-3 B. Leverkusen
Sunday, March 17 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 3-2 Qarabag
Thursday, March 14 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-0 Wolfsburg
Sunday, March 10 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Qarabag 2-2 B. Leverkusen
Thursday, March 7 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: FC Koln 0-2 B. Leverkusen
Sunday, March 3 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Kaiserslautern 1-3 Dusseldorf
Saturday, March 30 at 12pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Osnabruck 0-4 Dusseldorf
Friday, March 15 at 5.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Dusseldorf 2-0 Hamburger SV
Friday, March 8 at 5.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Hannover 2-2 Dusseldorf
Saturday, March 2 at 12pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Dusseldorf 2-0 Hansa Rostock
Sunday, February 25 at 12.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Karlsruher 2-2 Dusseldorf
Saturday, February 17 at 7.30pm in 2.Bundesliga


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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