Leverkusen remain unbeaten heading into the ninth month of the season and are strong favourites heading into this game against lower-league Dusseldorf, leading us to believe they will extend their run to 40 games without defeat with victory in this one.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 65.53%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Fortuna Dusseldorf had a probability of 15.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.79%) and 1-0 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.72%), while for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win it was 1-2 (4.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
-1.5) 
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