SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 41.11%. A win for Greuther Furth had a probability of 35.5% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.8%) and 0-2 (5.66%). The likeliest Greuther Furth win was 2-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Greuther Furth | Draw | Fortuna Dusseldorf |
35.5% ( -1.01) | 23.39% ( 0.11) | 41.11% ( 0.9) |
| Both teams to score 63.56% ( -0.61) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.95% ( -0.72) | 38.05% ( 0.73) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.68% ( -0.78) | 60.32% ( 0.78) |
| Greuther Furth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.41% ( -0.84) | 21.59% ( 0.84) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.31% ( -1.3) | 54.69% ( 1.3) |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.07% ( 0.09) | 18.93% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.56% ( 0.15) | 50.45% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Greuther Furth | Draw | Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 2-1 @ 7.99% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 4.8% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 4.08% ( -0.16)3-2 @ 3.4% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 2.45% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.1)4-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.69% Total : 35.5% | 1-1 @ 10.42% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 6.65% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 4.09% ( 0.14)3-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.38% | 1-2 @ 8.68% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 6.8% ( 0.25)0-2 @ 5.66% ( 0.23)1-3 @ 4.81% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 3.69% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 3.14% ( 0.13)1-4 @ 2% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.54% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.31% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.48% Total : 41.12% |
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