Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greuther Furth win with a probability of 39.17%. A win for Fortuna Dusseldorf had a probability of 35.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greuther Furth win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greuther Furth would win this match.
0.38) 
-0.47) 
