SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 57.9%. A win for Magdeburg had a probability of 21.4% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.99%) and 1-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Magdeburg win was 1-2 (5.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortuna Dusseldorf would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fortuna Dusseldorf | Draw | Magdeburg |
57.9% ( -0.97) | 20.7% ( 0.29) | 21.4% ( 0.67) |
| Both teams to score 61.86% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.63% ( -0.46) | 35.37% ( 0.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.6% ( -0.51) | 57.4% ( 0.51) |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.9% ( -0.41) | 12.1% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.34% ( -0.88) | 37.65% ( 0.88) |
| Magdeburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.38% ( 0.34) | 29.62% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.34% ( 0.41) | 65.66% ( -0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf | Draw | Magdeburg |
| 2-1 @ 9.73% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.99% ( -0.07)1-0 @ 7.57% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 6.85% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 5.63% ( -0.15)3-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 3.62% ( -0.12)4-0 @ 2.97% ( -0.13)4-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 1.53% ( -0.08)5-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.08)5-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.48% Total : 57.9% | 1-1 @ 9.21% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( 0.06)0-0 @ 3.58% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.69% ( 0)Other @ 0.3% Total : 20.7% | 1-2 @ 5.6% ( 0.14) 0-1 @ 4.36% ( 0.14)0-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.03% Total : 21.4% |
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