SM
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Austria | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | France | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Netherlands | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Poland | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France win with a probability of 41.13%. A win for Belgium had a probability of 32.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a France win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Belgium win was 0-1 (9.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for France in this match.
| Result | ||
| France | Draw | Belgium |
41.13% ( -0.42) | 26.36% ( -0.08) | 32.51% ( 0.5) |
| Both teams to score 52.35% ( 0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.73% ( 0.45) | 52.26% ( -0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.03% ( 0.39) | 73.97% ( -0.38) |
| France Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.93% ( -0.01) | 25.07% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.25% ( -0.02) | 59.75% ( 0.02) |
| Belgium Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.87% ( 0.56) | 30.13% ( -0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.72% ( 0.67) | 66.27% ( -0.66) |
| Score Analysis |
| France | Draw | Belgium |
| 1-0 @ 10.45% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 7.23% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 4% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.33% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.51% Total : 41.13% | 1-1 @ 12.53% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.55% ( -0.14)2-2 @ 5.2% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.35% | 0-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.52% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 3.01% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 0.9% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.33% Total : 32.51% |
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