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FL
Premier League | Gameweek 14
Dec 5, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Craven Cottage
BL

Fulham
3 - 1
Brighton

Iwobi (4', 87'), O'Riley (79' og.)
Berge (32'), Pereira (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Balepa (56')
Paul van Hecke (63'), Dunk (79')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Spurs 1-1 Fulham
Sunday, December 1 at 1.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 43.26%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 33.62% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.8%) and 2-0 (5.89%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fulham would win this match.

Result
FulhamDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
43.26% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02) 23.12% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 33.62% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Both teams to score 64.06% (0.041999999999987 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.82% (0.047000000000004 0.05)37.18% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.61% (0.052 0.05)59.39% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)
Fulham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.33% (0.010000000000005 0.01)17.67% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.7% (0.015000000000001 0.02)48.3% (-0.012 -0.01)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.82% (0.042999999999992 0.04)22.18% (-0.041 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.41% (0.064 0.06)55.59% (-0.061 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Fulham 43.26%
    Brighton & Hove Albion 33.62%
    Draw 23.11%
FulhamDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
2-1 @ 8.87% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.8% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.89% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.12% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 3.86% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 3.4% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.22%
4-2 @ 1.67% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.47% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.97%
Total : 43.26%
1-1 @ 10.23% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.68% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 3.92% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.94% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 23.11%
1-2 @ 7.7% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-1 @ 5.9% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.45% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 3.87% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.35% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.23% (0.0029999999999997 0)
1-4 @ 1.46% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 1.26% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 33.62%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Spurs 1-1 Fulham
Sunday, December 1 at 1.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Fulham 1-4 Wolves
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Crystal Palace 0-2 Fulham
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Fulham 2-1 Brentford
Monday, November 4 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Everton 1-1 Fulham
Saturday, October 26 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Fulham 1-3 Aston Villa
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 1-1 Southampton
Friday, November 29 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Bournemouth 1-2 Brighton
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 2-1 Man City
Saturday, November 9 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Liverpool 2-1 Brighton
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 2-3 Liverpool
Wednesday, October 30 at 7.30pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Brighton 2-2 Wolves
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in Premier League


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