SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 43.04%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 34.3% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.19%) and 2-0 (5.53%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle United | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
43.04% ( 0.65) | 22.66% ( 0.12) | 34.3% ( -0.77) |
| Both teams to score 66.02% ( -0.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.28% ( -0.79) | 34.72% ( 0.79) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.32% ( -0.9) | 56.68% ( 0.89) |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.23% ( -0.07) | 16.77% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.29% ( -0.12) | 46.71% ( 0.12) |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.32% ( -0.75) | 20.68% ( 0.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.73% ( -1.2) | 53.27% ( 1.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newcastle United | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
| 2-1 @ 8.71% ( 0.11) 1-0 @ 6.19% ( 0.23)2-0 @ 5.53% ( 0.2)3-1 @ 5.19% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3.29% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 2.32% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.05)4-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.48% Total : 43.04% | 1-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 6.87% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 3.47% ( 0.14)3-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.42% Total : 22.66% | 1-2 @ 7.69% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 5.47% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 4.04% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 3.61% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.59% ( -0.09)2-4 @ 1.42% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.91% Total : 34.3% |
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